Mortgage rates fall again

Mortgage Rate Trend Index

Half the experts (50 percent) polled by Bankrate.com this week predict rates will rise over the next 30 to 45 days. The rest are evenly split. While 25 percent predict further rate drops, 25 percent expect no change.
McLEAN, Va. – July 17, 2009 – Rates for 30-year home loans dropped for the third-straight week, inching toward a record low reached earlier this year, Freddie Mac said Thursday.

The average rate for 30-year fixed mortgages was 5.14 percent this week, down from 5.2 percent last week. Last year at this time, the rate for a 30-year mortgage averaged 6.26 percent, Freddie Mac said.

Falling mortgage rates can spur refinance activity, which increased as rates on 30-year mortgages fell to a record low of 4.78 percent in April.

But rates then rose as high as 5.6 percent in June after yields on long-term government debt – closely tied to mortgage rates – climbed as investors worried that the huge surplus of government debt hitting the market could trigger inflation.

Since then, the yield on the 10-year Treasury note has fallen back from an eight-month high of 4.01 percent reached in June to 3.53 percent on Thursday.

Frank Nothaft, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, said rate reductions over the past five weeks translate into monthly savings of $56 on a $200,000 mortgage.

Freddie Mac collects mortgage rates on Monday through Wednesday of each week from lenders around the country. Rates often fluctuate significantly, even within a given day.

This week, the average rate on a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage fell to 4.63 percent, down from 4.69 percent last week, according to Freddie Mac.

Average rates on five-year, adjustable-rate mortgages were 4.83 percent, up just a bit from 4.82 percent a week earlier. Rates on one-year, adjustable-rate mortgages fell to 4.76 percent from 4.82 percent.

The rates do not include add-on fees known as points. The nationwide fee averaged 0.7 point for 30-year and 15-year fixed rate mortgages, and five year adjustable rate mortgages. The fee for one-year adjustable rate mortgages was 0.5 point.

Copyright 2009 The Associated Press